Rahm Emanuel, former mayor of Chicago, Illinois, and former President Barack Obama’s first chief of staff is positioning himself for a possible presidential campaign in 2028, over three years before the election.
At 65, Emanuel, who recently completed his role as the U.S. ambassador to Japan, has quickly re-entered American politics. He has been making media appearances, writing opinion pieces, and critiquing the current administration and his party.
On March 12, 2025, Emanuel expressed his interest in a presidential run, telling Politico he is preparing to succeed President Donald Trump after his term. Emanuel has embarked on a strategic media tour, joining CNN as a senior political and global affairs commentator, contributing opinion pieces to The Washington Post, and appearing on shows like comedian Bill Maher’s talk show.
During his appearance on Bill Maher’s show, Emanuel criticized fellow Democrats for what he sees as misplaced priorities, especially in education and social matters. “In seventh grade, if I had known I could’ve said the word ‘they’ and gotten in the girls’ bathroom, I would’ve done it,” he told Maher. “We literally are a superpower, we’re facing off against China with 1.4 billion people, and two-thirds of our children can’t read eighth-grade level.”
Education is emerging as a key focus for Emanuel’s potential campaign, with sources noting his concern over American students’ performance compared to their Chinese peers. He has been outspoken about prioritizing education reform, highlighting troubling literacy statistics among American students.
Political analysts suggest that Emanuel presents himself as a centrist Democrat with the necessary experience to challenge Trumpism.
Some Democratic insiders believe Emanuel’s timing could be advantageous. One source remarked, “Presidential races are about timing, and if ever there was a period where Emanuel would be viable, it’s now.”
However, Emanuel faces significant challenges in launching a presidential campaign. His tenure as Chicago mayor was marked by controversy, particularly his handling of the Laquan McDonald police shooting case, which led to low approval ratings and his decision not to seek reelection in 2019. Critics have cited his past roles in NAFTA, the Iraq War, and Wall Street deregulations as points of contention.
There are concerns Emanuel may be perceived as a candidate of the past due to his close ties with former President Obama. Some observers question if his centrist approach would resonate with the party’s increasingly left-leaning base. His previous conflicts with unions and critique of progressive priorities could also present obstacles in garnering support from key Democratic constituencies.
Analysts point to Emanuel’s diplomatic experience in Asia as a potential asset in a campaign centered on America’s global competition with China. His time as ambassador has offered him firsthand experience in international relations within a strategically important region.
If the 2028 Democratic primary unfolds as anticipated, Emanuel could face a crowded field. Former Vice President Kamala Harris is reportedly considering a run, though she is also exploring a bid for California governor in 2026. Other potential contenders include Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who has ruled out a Senate run in 2026, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker.
Emanuel’s path to the White House is not his only option. Reports suggest he could be considered for other prominent roles such as DNC chair, Illinois governor in 2026, a potential U.S. Senate seat, or even a return as Chicago mayor in 2027. Emanuel did not dismiss the possibility when asked about another mayoral run, stating he is “not done with public service.”
Political observers note that even if Emanuel’s presidential bid does not succeed, it could position him for a significant role in a future Democratic administration. He continues to raise his profile through media appearances and public statements, keeping his political options open as he proceeds with his post-ambassadorial career.